Posts Tagged ‘quarterly’

Belated Investment Update

Sunday, June 3rd, 2007

Let’s also get caught up with my investments. I last updated in May 2006 when I bought STS, JAX, EEI, KEYN and RSC.

At my next quarterly evaluation in August 2006, I sold DSWL at a loss of 16.7% because I had held it for 2 years and it no longer met my criteria for a stock I would want to buy. I bought SYPR and BSET.

In November 2006, I sold SEMI because it reported a negative quarter on top of negative trailing 12 month earnings. I sold it at $3.02, for a 42.8% loss, just a few days before SEMI announced that it was filing for bankruptcy and dropped to $0.28. Sometimes you get lucky. I bought SGC, IAL, FLXS, CULS, PRCP, and PARL.

In February of 2007, I sold KEYN for a 18.9% gain and SYPR for a 22% loss because both reported a negative quarter on top of 12 month negative earnings. I sold SRT for a 16.2% loss because it was such a small portion of my portfolio and it didn’t meet my buy criteria. I sold COBR for a 23.9% gain and PATK for a 16.7% gain because I’d held both for 2 years, but they no longer met my buy criteria. I bought AIRT, HDNG, AWX, CAV, and JCTCF.

In April/May 2007, IAL got bought out for a 16.8% gain and BL got bought out for a 11.0% gain. I sold JCS for a 21.4% gain because they had fallen behind multiple quarters in their filings. I bought PMRY, POP and HOOK. POP dropped about 40% on the day that I bought it. Sometimes you get unlucky.

Here’s how the rest of my portfolio is doing as of May 31st, 2007.

Current Holdings Purchased Total Return (so far)
Champion Industries (CHMP) Nov 2005 76.74%
REX Stores (RSC) May 2006 -18.49%
Ecology & Environment (EEI) May 2006 21.97%
J. Alexander’s (JAX) May 2006 53.18%
Supreme Industries (STS) May 2006 -8.93%
Bassett Furniture Industries (BSET) Aug 2006 -11.62%
Superior Uniform Group (SGC) Nov 2006 -2.59%
Flexsteel Industries (FLXS) Nov 2006 13.85%
Cost-U-Less (CULS) Nov 2006 12.05%
Perceptron (PRCP) Nov 2006 3.04%
Parlux Fragrances (PARL) Nov 2006 -30.08%
Hardinge (HDNG) Feb 2007 102.01%
Avalon Holdings (AWX) Feb 2007 32.50%
Cavalier Homes (CAV) Feb 2007 21.11%
Jewett-Cameron Trading Co. (JCTCF) Feb 2007 24.82%
Air T (AIRT) Feb 2007 11.97%
Redhook Ale Brewery (HOOK) May 2007 4.89%
Pope & Talbot (POP) May 2007 -46.95%
Pomeroy IT Solutions (PMRY) May 2007 6.95%

Investment Update - May 2006

Thursday, May 11th, 2006

I sold 3 stocks (OUTL, MRINA.PK and KBALB) and bought 5 (RSC, JAX, EEI, KEYN and STS).

Sold stocks Purchased Total Return Reason for sell
Outlook Group (OUTL) Feb 2005 67.65% OUTL is being acquired and taken private at $13.50 per share in a transaction scheduled to close sometime this summer. I decided to sell now at $13.20 rather than wait a few months for an extra 30 cents. The risk is that another acquirer might offer a higher price before the current deal closes. My gut says that won’t happen.
McRae Industries (MRINA.PK) Nov 2005 -12.79% MRINA.PK purposefully delisted because they felt the costs of being a listed company were too expensive. Filing and reporting requirements have increased due to Sarbanes-Oxley legislation and this is taking a toll on a lot of small companies. I’ve made the decision not to hold delisted companies for a variety of reasons. They’re less liquid, so it’s harder to get in and out of them. They’re subject to fewer reporting requirements, so it’s harder to see how they are doing. Most importantly, my standard online sources of financial info don’t have much data about delisted companies (Yahoo, Reuters).
Kimball International (KBALB) Nov 2005 43.53% KBALB exceeded my market cap cutoff.

Here’s how the rest of my portfolio is doing as of April 30th, 2006.

Current Holdings Purchased Total Return (so far)
Deswell Industries (DSWL) Sep 2004 -23.25%
Patrick Industries (PATK) Feb 2005 21.25%
All American Semiconductor (SEMI) Feb 2005 -3.23%
Cobra Electronics (COBR) Feb 2005 54.08%
StarTek Inc.(SRT) Aug 2005 65.70%
Blair Corp. (BL) Aug 2005 -1.81%
Communication Systems Inc. (JCS) Aug 2005 15.13%
Champion Industries (CHMP) Nov 2005 45.94%

Doing nothing

Wednesday, February 8th, 2006

It’s time for my quarterly investment update. Every 3 months, I look at my portfolio and sell stocks that I don’t like and then buy ones that I do. This quarter, I’m doing nothing.

This is one of the hardest things for me to do. I like to trade. Sell a stock here, buy a new one here. It’s exciting. Especially when you sell a stock that’s been down for a while because then you no longer have to look at that red smirch on your portfolio every day. But while activity is a good thing in almost every other aspect of life, it can hurt you in investing. The undisputable fact is that the more you trade, the more you’ll lose on commissions and spreads. What’s more disputable, but true in my mind is that investing overactivity makes me do dumb things.

A couple of the stocks that I had sold over the past year have made strong runs since I sold them. AMN has gained 47% and DUCK has gained 20%. I probably shouldn’t have sold either of them, if I had followed my strict evaluation process. But I wanted to sell them. Each company had its problems, so I found good reasons to sell and justifed them to myself. The problem was that I didn’t follow the sell criteria that I had set up before I bought the stocks. I made up new ones just so I could sell the stock. If I had stuck with my initial criteria, I’d still be holding on to those two and enjoying my gains.

I guess my lesson is that you should decide under what conditions you would sell any stock before you buy it. Until those conditions appear, hold tight. This is especially true for small undervalued stocks because it can take a long time for the market to come around and properly value them. James Cloonan, over at The American Association of Individual Investors runs a Shadow Stock Portfolio on which my portfolio is loosely based. He recommends giving small-cap value stocks at least 2 years to be recognized by the market.

Patience, young grasshopper!

Investments: Quarterly Update

Thursday, December 1st, 2005

DUCK lost money both in its most recent quarter and over the past 12 months, so I sold it. I wish I’d been smarter about the way I sold it. I hadn’t decided which new stocks to buy yet, so instead of just selling DUCK and sitting in cash, I thought I’d using a trailing-stop order. With a regular stop, you tell your broker to sell the stock once the price drops below a certain point. If the current price is $23.50 and you set a stop at $23.00, then when the price drops below $23, the broker sends the order to the market and fills it. It’s a way to automatically limit your losses (or protect a certain amount of gains) in a stock. A trailing stop works the same way, except that the stop-price moves up whenever the current-price moves up. You set a trailing-stop at 50 cents below market. If the current price is $23.50, your stop is at $23.00. If the current price goes to $24, then your stop moves up with it to $23.50. I figured this would be perfect for my situation. I knew I wanted to sell DUCK. I didn’t know what I wanted to buy next. If DUCK went up in this period of time, I’d benefit. If DUCK went down, I’d lose very little.

Or so I thought. The stocks that I own are thinly traded - they’re small and unknown. You always want to use limit orders for these type of stocks. But all stop-loss orders are really market orders. The broker holds onto them until the price hits the stop and then sends the order to the market as a market-order. So, in my case, DUCK closed at 23.49 on the day before my order. I placed a trailing-stop at 50 cents. DUCK opened at 21.50. The trailing-stop triggered and my order filled at 21.60. The stock price then jumped back to 23.50 and remained there. I got screwed! The real problem is that I got greedy. Instead of hoping for a few extra pennies per share, I should have just set a limit order at $23.00 and forgotten about it. Live and learn. Either I want a stock in my portfolio or I don’t. Squeezing extra pennies out of it is not the way to get rich.

Sold Stocks Purchase Date Total Return Reason for sell
Duckwall-ALCO Stores (DUCK) 2/1/2005 14.25% Quarterly loss on top of TTM loss

Here’s how the rest of my portfolio is doing as of 11/30/05

Current Holdings Purchase Date Total Return (so far)
Deswell Industries (DSWL) 9/20/2004 7.52%
Patrick Industries (PATK) 2/1/2005 6.14%
Outlook Group (OUTL) 2/1/2005 79.51%
All American Semiconductor (SEMI) 2/1/2005 -25.48%
Cobra Electronics (COBR) 2/1/2005 43.24%
StarTek Inc.(SRT) 8/2/2005 20.10%
Blair Corp. (BL) 8/4/2005 -6.51%
Communication Systems Inc. (JCS) 8/4/2005 10.65%
Kimball International Inc. (KBALB) 11/8/2005 -1.82%
McRae Industries (MRI-A) 11/8/2005 0.53%
Champion Industries (CHMP) 11/16/2005 -1.17%

Quarterly Sells

Monday, August 1st, 2005

I try to do my portfolio cleanup every 3 months, selling any companies that don’t fit my strategy and buying new ones that do. So, I’m selling 5 stocks. I haven’t decided on my buys yet, but I’m looking at BAMM, BZ, CALM, ESP, PWX, SCX and SRT (among others).

Stock Purchase Date Total Return Reason for sell
Ameron (AMN) 7/7/2004 11.27% No improvement in the financial results over the past year. I got sick of their ridiculous executive compensation. CEO took home $17 million last year, while net income for the company was only $13 million.
Ashworth (ASHW) 7/7/2004 0.75% I probably should’ve sold this back in February or May when it was in the 11’s. Instead I sold it about where I bought it at $8. Still undervalued, but its fundamentals aren’t as promising as they were a year ago. They’ve taken on an acquisition which seems a little outside their circle of competence. They’re a golf clothing company and they bought a hat company specializing in college sports and NASCAR. Doesn’t quite fit. Share count is increasing, no free cash flow, taking on more debt, return on assets decreasing, CFO left. I claim failure on this one.
Building Materials Holding Corp (BMHC) 9/13/2004 246.94% It’s hard to sell a stock that has been on such a run, but it’s even harder to watch a stock tank when you knew you should have sold. Of course, I have no way of knowing if BMHC will tank, but I do know that it doesn’t meet my criteria for a stock in my portfolio. I bought this last year because I noticed that it had a PE ratio < 10, a P/B ratio near 1, and it was paying a dividend. The P/B ratio is now over 3, so it's no longer such a great value. It's benefitted from the great housing market nationwide, but I don't think that can last forever. Again, BMHC may go up from here, but that's OK because I'm only interested in owning stocks that fit into my philosophy - small and cheap.
Flagstar Bank (FBC) 11/1/2004 -8.14% See my post about Flagstar earlier this summer. On top of that, they guided for an EPS this quarter fo $0.45 to $0.60 and got $0.44. They still have no information on why the auditor quit. They’re hiring 2 big-4 accounting firms to help with compliance, in addition to another auditor for their general financial statements. I also don’t quite understand how to evaluate financial companies, so I’m bowing out now.
Merck (MRK) 9/25/2004 -2.00% I bought this before I’d decided to focus on small caps. Merck just doesn’t fit into my philosophy (small value). I think the Vioxx concerns are overblown, but I also wish Merck would’ve been more upfront with physicians from the beginning. I think taking Vioxx off the market was the right thing to do, even though I think Vioxx probably has some value in certain uses. Bottom line is that I’m a small cap investor, so no more Merck.

Here are my current holdings.

Stock Purchase Date Total Return (so far)
Deswell Industries(DSWL) 9/20/2004 17.09%
Patrick Industries (PATK) 2/1/2005 -6.48%
Outlook Group(OUTL) 2/1/2005 33.09%
All American Semiconductor (SEMI) 2/1/2005 -2.09%
Duckwall-ALCO Stores (DUCK) 2/1/2005 24.21%
Cobra Electronics (COBR) 2/1/2005 15.92%